Missile launch or storm repair? The rapid pace of activity fuels speculation about a North Korean test


Analysts and security officials say they are looking for signs that North Korea may test the upcoming holiday to unveil new weapons or test a submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM). , When the discovery was made’ during an activity at a key base.

Missile launch or storm repair? The rapid pace of activity fuels speculation about a North Korean test


The 75th anniversary of the ruling Workers' Party of Korea, October 10, has seen the formation of troops in anticipation of a military parade. Some observers say North Korea could demonstrate its largest missile for the first time since 2018.

Image analysts and security officials have warned that there is no conclusive evidence of an upcoming launch. But after several hurricanes wreaked havoc on North Korea in early September, satellite imagery has been active at the Sinpo South shipyard, including a safe basin where Belgium used in previous underwater missile launches. Is submerged.

"We are monitoring the developments, as there is a possibility that the submarine-launched ballistic missile test will be carried out there by ejection devices immediately after the repair work," said South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff. Nominee Won In-choul, staff, told lawmakers this week.

Other South Korean officials have issued more cautious notes, including the incoming South Korean Defense Minister General Suh-wook, who said on Monday that he considered the SLBM test "unexpected" because of the anniversary. There is very little time to get ready.

On Thursday, the Daily NK, a Seoul-affiliated website that covers North Korea, cited an unnamed source near the shipyard as saying the site was "preparing for a ballistic missile launch." I am disturbed, "officials and investigators arrived late. August.

The US-based think tank 38 North said in a report on Wednesday that the imagery showed "heavy activity" at the shipyard, but that "no other indications of launch preparations were seen."

Dave Schmidt said that although this activity indicates that some kind of work is being done’ on the missile market, which has either been moved from the basin or placed under protective’ radiation, it is the main post-storm repair work. Will also be according to. Senior Researcher at the James Martin Center for Inactive Studies.

On Sept. 4, the U.S.-based Center for Strategic and International Studies said satellite imagery showed activity at Sinpo, which is preparing for the upcoming ballistic missile test from the Pukguksong-3 submersible test. "Recommended, but not final." Standing barge."

Last October, North Korea said it had successfully tested a PKK-3, which did not elicit a major response from US President Donald Trump, who said the country had launched intercontinental ballistic missiles and The absence of nuclear tests began in 2017 as a diplomatic success. And play small range launches.

Although North Korea could develop a new weapons system, there are no indications that the country is considering "hesitating" ahead of the expected military parade, the commander of US troops in South Korea said last week. Said


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