India likely to use force against Pakistan: US report

India likely to use force against Pakistan: US report


Washington: India, led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, is more likely to respond with military force to "perceived or real" provocations from Pakistan, warns in a US intelligence report sent to Congress this week. Has been


Annual Threat Assessment Report - 2021 prepared by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) and sent to Congress on Tuesday. It points to China's "pressure on world powers" as it is the first threat to US interests following Russia's provocative actions and Iran's threats.


The report provides an assessment of "proportional, independent, and disorganized intelligence" for "policymakers, militants, and domestic law enforcement personnel," DNI Director Avril Haynes wrote in an introductory note.


Assessing the potential threats from South Asia, the report warns that "India, led by Prime Minister Modi, is more likely than ever to respond militarily to what is perceived to be Pakistani forces." ۔ "


The report said the "escalation of tensions" in the region increases the risk of conflict between the two nuclear-armed neighbors, with the potential for violent unrest in Kashmir or a possible militant attack in India.


But the report also said that a "normal war" between India and Pakistan was unlikely in 2021, but that "the crisis between the two is likely to intensify, leading to a growing cycle." "


Another US intelligence report issued to Congress last week warned that India and Pakistan could go to war against real and perceived provocation in the next five years.


The report points out that some regional conflicts, such as the wars in Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria, have had "direct effects on US security", while "tensions between nuclear-armed India and Pakistan remain a global concern." Is."


Afghanistan


The report looked at the prospects for a peace deal between the Afghan government and the Taliban in 2021. The report predicts that "the Taliban may gain ground on the battlefield, and if the coalition withdraws support, the Afghan government will fight to keep the Taliban in check." It also noted that Kabul was "facing constant setbacks on the battlefield, and that the Taliban believed it could achieve a military victory."


The DNI also noted that Afghan forces have continued to secure major cities and other government strongholds, but "they are engaged in defense missions and are trying to recapture or recapture areas abandoned in 2013." Struggled for presence. "


Commenting on Iran's role in Afghanistan, the report said that "Iran will be at stake in Afghanistan." "Iran publicly supports the peace talks, but it is concerned about the long-term US presence in Afghanistan," he added.


As a result, "Iran is building ties with both the government and the Taliban in Kabul so that it can take advantage of any political outcome."


Reports of DNI's annual threat assessment are shared with the House Intelligence Committees, as well as with the House Armed Services and Senate Armed Services Committees.



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